Cameron Norrie vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve stats show a near tie, with Carlos Alcaraz at 46.11% and Cameron Norrie at 46.10%.
• In return games, Cameron has won more opponent second serve points with 45.30% compared to Carlos's 41.73%.
• Who has the edge in breakpoints? Cameron Norrie, saving 59.95% under pressure compared to Carlos's 54.52%.
• Looking at the last year, Alcaraz's match win percentage is significantly higher at 87.50% compared to Norrie’s 57.58%.
• On grass, Alcaraz excels with a win percentage of 90%, while Norrie's performance is below average with 49%.
• Alcaraz plays predominantly at Grand Slams and dominates with a 92.31% win rate, whereas Norrie focuses on the Main tour at 57.58%.
• In direct H2H matches, Alcaraz leads with 5 wins out of 7 encounters and has won 14 out of 19 sets.
• What happens in deciding sets? Despite Norrie's two wins, Alcaraz has the higher overall deciding set win rate at 79% versus Norrie's 54%.
• Against tougher opponents, Alcaraz has faced higher-ranked players with an average rank of 49.92, much stronger than Norrie’s 104.48 average.

Editorial Prediction (October 27, 2025, UTC):

As we assess the upcoming match between Carlos Alcaraz and Cameron Norrie, several key factors come into play. Alcaraz has a slight edge in recent match performance, securing more overall wins and facing stronger opponents over the past year.

In head-to-head encounters, Alcaraz holds the advantage with 5 victories out of 7 matches, indicating a consistent ability to outperform Norrie. Additionally, his impressive performance on Grand Slam stages suggests a readiness for high-stakes scenarios.

However, Norrie's strengths in return games and under pressure cannot be dismissed. Though Alcaraz has had more success historically, the balance might shift in high-pressure situations, where Norrie excels.

Given these factors and the current form, Carlos Alcaraz is poised to be the favorite, with his track record and statistical superiorities predicting a likely win in the upcoming match.